Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
4'
4'
Thomas J.
25'
25'
Reed L.
27'
27'
Ferreira N.
AI Match Summary
Trethomas Bluebirds in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trethomas Bluebirds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Carmarthen Town lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Carmarthen Town taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Trethomas Bluebirds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:3
Mar 6, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town
4:5
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
5:1
Dec 28, 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Reed L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thomas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferreira N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 34 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Trethomas Bluebirds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmarthen Town scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Trethomas Bluebirds let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Carmarthen Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS Trethomas Bluebirds
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 4
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Away) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
14 Jul
Barry Town
5 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
