Sport Picks
Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Costa Rica
Liga de Ascenso 
AI Match Summary
Carmelita host Cariari Pococi in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Cariari Pococi have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Carmelita have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.22. Past meetings favor Carmelita slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Carmelita. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Carmelita average 1.22 goals a game right now, well clear of Cariari Pococi's 1.14.
- Win probability leans Carmelita's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmelita | Cariari Pococi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cariari Pococi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Carmelita found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Carmelita has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Carmelita
(Home)Cariari Pococi
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Quepos FC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Grecia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 4 | AD Rosario | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 5 | AD Sarchi | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11:22 | 6 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Ana | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 24 |
| 2 | Pitbulls | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Cariari Pococi | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmelita | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 5 | Aserri | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 6 | Guadalupe | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Moravia | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 8 | CS Uruguay | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:23 | 9 |
