Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Carmelita host Guadalupe in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Guadalupe have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Carmelita have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Carmelita have won 3 to Guadalupe's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.19) back Carmelita to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalupe haven't matched Carmelita's recent run of results.
- Carmelita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmelita | Guadalupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalupe has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Carmelita scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Carmelita has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Carmelita
(Home)Guadalupe
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Quepos FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Grecia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 4 | AD Rosario | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | AD Sarchi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Ana | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Pitbulls | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Carmelita | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Aserri | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Moravia | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Guadalupe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 8 | CS Uruguay | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |