Sport Picks
Carmelita vs Limon Black Star
Costa Rica
Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Carmelita host Limon Black Star in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. This has Carmelita written all over it on paper. Carmelita have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Limon Black Star's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Carmelita have won 1 to Limon Black Star's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Carmelita. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Limon Black Star haven't matched Carmelita's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Carmelita taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmelita | Limon Black Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmelita scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Solid form: Carmelita remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 0.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Carmelita
(Home)Limon Black Star
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter San Carlos | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Quepos FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:21 | 28 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 5 | Grecia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 6 | AD Sarchi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:23 | 17 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
| 8 | Dep. Upala | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15:31 | 5 |
| 9 | Municipal Turrialba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escorpiones | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 2 | CS Uruguay | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:20 | 23 |
| 3 | Pitbulls | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Moravia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 6 | Aserri | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15:28 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Ana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19:28 | 12 |
| 8 | Carmelita | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Limon Black Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
