Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014

Carniny Amateur & Youth

Sat, Nov 9, 2013

3 - 5

01:30 PM

Ardglass

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ardglass in this Irish Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Carniny Amateur & Youth

28%

Draws

22%

Ardglass

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Carniny Amateur & Youth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ardglass have won more games recently than Carniny Amateur & Youth.
50% — that's where the model lands on Carniny Amateur & Youth taking it.
Ardglass arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ardglass, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 100%

Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 39%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 87.80000000000001%

Carniny Amateur & Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Ardglass Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carniny Amateur & Youth	Ardglass
Matches Played	1	10
Wins	0	6
Draws	0	0
Losses	1	4
Goals Scored	3	3
Goals Conceded	5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2013 Irish Cup

Carniny Amateur & Youth vs Ardglass

3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carniny Amateur & Youth 47 / 100

Ardglass 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carniny Amateur & Youth Ardglass

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carniny Amateur & Youth scored in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Defensive concern: Ardglass conceded in 100% of 10 recent games.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Away concern: Ardglass has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carniny Amateur & Youth VS Ardglass

3 Goals Scored 3

5 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 100%

100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Carniny Amateur & Youth

(Home)

09 Nov

Carniny Amateur & Youth

3 : 5

Ardglass

(Away)

01 Oct

Crewe

5 : 1

Ardglass

05 Dec

Lurgan Celtic

4 : 0

Ardglass

07 Nov

Comber Rec

3 : 4

Ardglass

03 Oct

Ardglass

3 : 1

Killyleagh Youth

22 Aug

Saintfield

1 : 2

Ardglass

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Ballymena-

TBD-

Killymoon-

TBD-

Harland & Wolff-

Dergview-

TBD-

Nortel0

Drumaness2

TBD-

Linfield-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Cliftonville-

Moyola-

TBD-

Annagh-

TBD-

Dungannon-

Bangor FC-

TBD-

Knockbreda-

Ardglass5

Carniny Amateur & Youth3

TBD-

Glebe-

Chimney-

TBD-

Wakehurst-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Lisburn Distillery-

TBD-

Institute-

Tobermore-

TBD-

PSNI-

Limavady-

TBD-

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys0

Derriaghy3

Lurgan Celtic-

TBD-

Queens University-

Glenavon-

TBD-

Sirocco2

Rathfern Rangers1

TBD-

Sport & Leisure-

Strabane Athletic2

Crumlin United0

Bryansburn1

Lisburn Rangers3

TBD-

Ballinamallard-

Armagh-

TBD-

Loughgall-

TBD-

Ards-

Portadown-

TBD-

Glentoran-

Ballyclare-

TBD-

Larne-

Downshire Y.M.3

Shankill2

Immaculata0

Kilmore Rec1

Dundela-

TBD-

Portstewart-

Coagh Utd-

TBD-

Carrick Rangers-

Ballymoney-

TBD-

Newington FC-

Rathfriland Rangers4

Bangor Swifts1

TBD-

Banbridge-

Crumlin Star2

Newbuildings1

Downpatrick0

Newry City1

TBD-

Crusaders-

1/32-finals

Ballymena-

TBD-

Killymoon1

Harland & Wolff8

Dergview2

Drumaness0

TBD-

Linfield-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Cliftonville-

Moyola2

Annagh0

TBD-

Dungannon-

Bangor FC5

Knockbreda2

Ardglass2

Glebe3

Chimney3

Wakehurst0

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Lisburn Distillery2

Institute1

Tobermore1

PSNI2

Limavady2

Derriaghy1

Lurgan Celtic0

Queens University5

Glenavon-

TBD-

Sirocco1

Sport & Leisure2

Strabane Athletic2

Lisburn Rangers0

TBD-

Ballinamallard-

Armagh2

Loughgall0

TBD-

Ards-

Portadown-

TBD-

Glentoran-

Ballyclare4

Larne1

Downshire Y.M.1

Kilmore Rec3

Dundela5

Portstewart2

Coagh Utd0

Carrick Rangers2

Ballymoney3

Newington FC1

Rathfriland Rangers2

Banbridge4

Crumlin Star4

Newry City1

TBD-

Crusaders-

1/16-finals

Ballymena3

Harland & Wolff2

Dergview0

Linfield5

Coleraine6

Cliftonville5

Moyola1

Dungannon5

Bangor FC7

Glebe1

Chimney0

Warrenpoint2

Lisburn Distillery2

PSNI0

Limavady0

Queens University1

Glenavon7

Sport & Leisure0

Strabane Athletic0

Ballinamallard1

Armagh5

Ards3

Portadown1

Glentoran3

Ballyclare3

Kilmore Rec0

Dundela2

Carrick Rangers3

Ballymoney1

Banbridge0

Crumlin Star1

Crusaders2

1/8-finals

Ballymena2

Linfield1

Coleraine2

Dungannon3

Bangor FC1

Warrenpoint0

Lisburn Distillery0

Queens University2

Glenavon3

Ballinamallard0

Armagh2

Glentoran3

Ballyclare2

Carrick Rangers1

Ballymoney0

Crusaders4

Quarter-finals

Ballymena4

Dungannon1

Bangor FC2

Queens University3

Glenavon2

Glentoran1

Ballyclare0

Crusaders5

Semi-finals

Ballymena3

Queens University0

Glenavon3

Crusaders1

Final

Ballymena1

Glenavon2