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Carolina Ascent W vs Brooklyn W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC
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Match Events

60'
Coleman A.
63' Event
Groom S.
Assist: Corbin M.
64'
Sub
Nabet L. In: Porter T.
Out: Nabet L.

AI Match Summary

Carolina Ascent W in this USL Super League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carolina Ascent W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Carolina Ascent W
15%
Draws
32%
Brooklyn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Carolina Ascent W have won more games recently than Brooklyn W.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Carolina Ascent W taking it.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Carolina Ascent W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 20%
Brooklyn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Ascent W Brooklyn W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Brooklyn W
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Brooklyn W
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:2
May 24, 2025 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Ascent W Compare

Top Goalscorer Groom S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Brooklyn W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Ascent W 85 / 100
Brooklyn W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Ascent W Brooklyn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carolina Ascent W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Ascent W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Brooklyn W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Carolina Ascent W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Brooklyn W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Ascent W VS Brooklyn W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carolina Ascent W

(Home)
26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3
Sporting Jax W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
05 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
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Brooklyn W

(Away)
02 Oct
Brooklyn W
1 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
13 Sept
Brooklyn W
3 : 2
Sporting Jax W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0
Brooklyn W
28 Aug
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)