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Carolina Core vs New England Revolution II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Truist Point, High Point, NC
Carolina Core Logo

Carolina Core

Fri, Sep 4, 2026
3 - 2
11:30 PM
New England Revolution II Logo

New England Revolution II

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Oliveira C.
46'
Sub
Tattevin A. In: Diaz D.
Out: Tattevin A.
46'
Sub
Ford G. In: Lundeen C.
Out: Ford G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Carolina Core and New England Revolution II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Core.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Carolina Core
15%
Draws
42%
New England Revolution II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carolina Core

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • New England Revolution II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Carolina Core taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Carolina Core have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Core New England Revolution II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New England Revolution II
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New England Revolution II
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New England Revolution II
2:1
Mar 31, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Carolina Core
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Swinehart B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hammond S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zambrano M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Core 40 / 100
New England Revolution II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Core New England Revolution II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Core scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: New England Revolution II conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: New England Revolution II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Core VS New England Revolution II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Carolina Core

(Home)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution II

(Away)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
30 Aug
New England Revolution II
1 : 4
Huntsville City
22 Aug
New York City II
2 : 1
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)