Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Truist Point

Carolina Core

Sat, May 30, 2026

1 - 2

10:00 PM

New York Red Bulls II

Our Tip

Match Events

Martinez N.

12'

Rodriguez B.

Assist: Jimenez M.

29'

Pineda T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Carolina Core

33%

Draws

40%

New York Red Bulls II

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

New York Red Bulls II have won more games recently than Carolina Core.
Win probability leans New York Red Bulls II's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
New York Red Bulls II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%

Carolina Core Clean Sheet 12%

New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carolina Core	New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	9	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	21	11
Goals Scored	1.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Carolina Core vs New York Red Bulls II

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Oct 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York Red Bulls II vs Carolina Core

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

5:1

Jun 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Carolina Core vs New York Red Bulls II

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York Red Bulls II vs Carolina Core

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Sep 1, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Carolina Core vs New York Red Bulls II

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineda T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Core 27 / 100

New York Red Bulls II 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carolina Core New York Red Bulls II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carolina Core scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

New York Red Bulls II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

New York Red Bulls II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Core VS New York Red Bulls II

1.38 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12