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Caronnese vs Breno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Arma R.
56' Event
Corno F.
65' Event
Arma R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Caronnese and Breno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Breno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
20%
Draws
80%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Breno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Breno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Breno a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Breno have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 21%
Breno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Breno
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Breno
1:2
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Caronnese
4:0
Nov 24, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie D
Breno vs Caronnese
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caronnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Corno F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Arma R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 20 / 100
Breno 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breno has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Caronnese scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Breno has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Breno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)