Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caronnese vs Darfo Boario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caronnese in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caronnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
15%
Draws
85%
Darfo Boario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darfo Boario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Darfo Boario lately — more wins on the board than Caronnese.
  • Caronnese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 16%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Darfo Boario
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Darfo Boario
3:2
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Caronnese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 66 / 100
Darfo Boario 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Darfo Boario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caronnese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darfo Boario's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Darfo Boario registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caronnese found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Caronnese VS Darfo Boario
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 7

Darfo Boario

(Away)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)