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Caronnese vs Franciacorta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bertazzoli A.
37' Event
Invernizzi M.
66' Event
Braidich D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Caronnese and Franciacorta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Franciacorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caronnese
15%
Draws
85%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciacorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Franciacorta come out ahead of Caronnese on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Franciacorta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 15%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caronnese Franciacorta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Franciacorta
1:2
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Caronnese
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caronnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Braidich D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertazzoli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Invernizzi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caronnese 23 / 100
Franciacorta 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caronnese Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciacorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Franciacorta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Caronnese scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Franciacorta registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caronnese VS Franciacorta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caronnese

(Home)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)