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Carpati Covasna vs Baicoi

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carpati Covasna host Baicoi in the Liga 3 - Seria 2. Baicoi go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Carpati Covasna at 0.83 goals for, 3.67 against; Baicoi at 1.5 for, 1.6 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 2.76) point toward Baicoi. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Carpati Covasna
30%
Draws
64%
Baicoi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baicoi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baicoi lately — more wins on the board than Carpati Covasna.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Baicoi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carpati Covasna Clean Sheet 10%
Baicoi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpati Covasna Baicoi
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpati Covasna 10 / 100
Baicoi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpati Covasna Baicoi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baicoi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baicoi has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Carpati Covasna scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Solid form: Carpati Covasna remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carpati Covasna VS Baicoi
0.71 Goals Scored 2.38
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpati Covasna

(Home)
25 Sept
ARO Campulung
1 : 1
Carpati Covasna
22 Sept
Carpati Covasna
1 : 4
ACS Medias
19 Sept
CSM Corona Brasov
7 : 0
Carpati Covasna
12 Sept
Carpati Covasna
1 : 3
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
05 Sept
Olimpic Zarnesti
3 : 2
Carpati Covasna
Page 1 of 2

Baicoi

(Away)
26 Sept
Baicoi
4 : 0
Sepsi 2
22 Sept
ARO Campulung
2 : 2
Baicoi
19 Sept
Baicoi
1 : 0
Inter Sibiu
11 Sept
ACS Medias
1 : 1
Baicoi
05 Sept
Baicoi
4 : 1
Kids Tampa Brasov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Corona Brasov 6 4 2 0 18:3 14
2 CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
3 Inter Sibiu 6 4 0 2 17:5 12
4 Baicoi 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
5 Sepsi 2 6 4 0 2 13:10 12
6 Olimpic Zarnesti 6 4 0 2 12:15 12
7 ACS Medias 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
8 ARO Campulung 6 1 4 1 11:11 7
9 CSM Sacele 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
11 Carpati Covasna 6 0 1 5 5:22 1
12 Kids Tampa Brasov 6 0 0 6 2:14 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 (Relegation Group)