Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carpi U19 vs Cremonese U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2018/2019
Sat, Mar 9, 2019
3 - 0
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carpi U19 host Cremonese U19 in the Primavera 2 2018/2019. Cremonese U19 are expected to control this from the start. Cremonese U19 have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Carpi U19 have conceded 1.87 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Carpi U19 slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2019, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.68) point toward Cremonese U19. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Carpi U19
20%
Draws
57%
Cremonese U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cremonese U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cremonese U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cremonese U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Carpi U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Cremonese U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi U19 Cremonese U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 1 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2019 Primavera 2
Carpi U19 vs Cremonese U19
3:0
Nov 10, 2018 Primavera 2
Cremonese U19 vs Carpi U19
1:2
May 5, 2018 Primavera 2
Carpi U19 vs Cremonese U19
1:2
Dec 16, 2017 Primavera 2
Cremonese U19 vs Carpi U19
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi U19 10 / 100
Cremonese U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi U19 Cremonese U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Carpi U19's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cremonese U19 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Carpi U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cremonese U19
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi U19

(Home)
20 Apr
Brescia U19
3 : 2
Carpi U19
06 Apr
Carpi U19
2 : 2
Parma U19
30 Mar
Padova U19
2 : 0
Carpi U19
09 Mar
Carpi U19
3 : 0
Cremonese U19
02 Mar
Verona U19
4 : 0
Carpi U19
Page 1 of 6

Cremonese U19

(Away)
16 May
Cremonese U19
1 : 2
Cesena U19
11 May
Cremonese U19
4 : 1
Cittadella U19
04 May
Reggiana U19
0 : 2
Cremonese U19
27 Apr
Cremonese U19
1 : 0
Sudtirol U19
20 Apr
Cremonese U19
2 : 2
FeralpiSalo U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bologna U19 22 16 5 1 48:17 53
2 Spal U19 22 14 3 5 42:24 45
3 Venezia U19 22 11 5 6 37:28 38
4 Spezia U19 22 10 5 7 43:29 35
5 Verona U19 22 10 5 7 40:30 35
6 Brescia U19 22 9 4 9 41:42 31
7 Padova U19 22 8 6 8 29:33 30
8 Cremonese U19 22 7 7 8 34:38 28
9 Parma U19 22 6 7 9 29:41 25
10 Carpi U19 22 6 3 13 24:40 21
11 Salernitana U19 22 3 5 14 20:42 14
12 Cittadella U19 22 3 3 16 17:40 12
Promotion - Primavera 1 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pescara U19 20 16 1 3 56:16 49
2 Lazio U19 20 14 4 2 40:12 46
3 Ascoli U19 20 11 3 6 25:15 36
4 Lecce U19 20 10 4 6 33:29 34
5 Benevento U19 20 8 5 7 31:25 29
6 Frosinone U19 20 8 5 7 23:23 29
7 Livorno U19 20 7 3 10 27:42 24
8 Foggia U19 20 7 2 11 32:41 23
9 Crotone U19 20 4 5 11 23:46 17
10 Perugia U19 20 4 3 13 22:40 15
11 Cosenza U19 20 2 3 15 24:47 9
Promotion - Primavera 1 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)