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Carpi U19 vs Spal U19

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Primavera 2 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2018/2019 game between Carpi U19 and Spal U19 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Carpi U19
20%
Draws
16%
Spal U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spal U19 come out ahead of Carpi U19 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spal U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Carpi U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi U19 Spal U19
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2019 Primavera 2
Carpi U19 vs Spal U19
0:2
Oct 13, 2018 Coppa Italia Primavera
Carpi U19 vs Spal U19
2:3
Sep 22, 2018 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Carpi U19
1:0
Mar 10, 2018 Primavera 2
Carpi U19 vs Spal U19
0:1
Nov 4, 2017 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Carpi U19
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi U19 32 / 100
Spal U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi U19 Spal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carpi U19 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Spal U19 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Spal U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spal U19
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi U19

(Home)
20 Apr
Brescia U19
3 : 2
Carpi U19
06 Apr
Carpi U19
2 : 2
Parma U19
30 Mar
Padova U19
2 : 0
Carpi U19
09 Mar
Carpi U19
3 : 0
Cremonese U19
02 Mar
Verona U19
4 : 0
Carpi U19
Page 1 of 6

Spal U19

(Away)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bologna U19 22 16 5 1 48:17 53
2 Spal U19 22 14 3 5 42:24 45
3 Venezia U19 22 11 5 6 37:28 38
4 Spezia U19 22 10 5 7 43:29 35
5 Verona U19 22 10 5 7 40:30 35
6 Brescia U19 22 9 4 9 41:42 31
7 Padova U19 22 8 6 8 29:33 30
8 Cremonese U19 22 7 7 8 34:38 28
9 Parma U19 22 6 7 9 29:41 25
10 Carpi U19 22 6 3 13 24:40 21
11 Salernitana U19 22 3 5 14 20:42 14
12 Cittadella U19 22 3 3 16 17:40 12
Promotion - Primavera 1 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pescara U19 20 16 1 3 56:16 49
2 Lazio U19 20 14 4 2 40:12 46
3 Ascoli U19 20 11 3 6 25:15 36
4 Lecce U19 20 10 4 6 33:29 34
5 Benevento U19 20 8 5 7 31:25 29
6 Frosinone U19 20 8 5 7 23:23 29
7 Livorno U19 20 7 3 10 27:42 24
8 Foggia U19 20 7 2 11 32:41 23
9 Crotone U19 20 4 5 11 23:46 17
10 Perugia U19 20 4 3 13 22:40 15
11 Cosenza U19 20 2 3 15 24:47 9
Promotion - Primavera 1 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2018/2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)