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Carpi vs Arezzo

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Guccione F.
10'
Rosetti M.
22'
Eklu S. M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Carpi and Arezzo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Carpi
15%
Draws
46%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arezzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Carpi haven't matched Arezzo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carpi Clean Sheet 19%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Arezzo
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.92 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Arezzo
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Carpi
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Carpi
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Arezzo
2:1
Feb 14, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Carpi
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Arezzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guccione F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 32 / 100
Arezzo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Arezzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Carpi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Arezzo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1
Carpi
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2
Pianese
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
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Arezzo

(Away)
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)