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Carpi vs Arzignano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mattioli A.
Assist: Fosu M. J.
40'
Desole F.
44' Event
Penta M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Carpi and Arzignano finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Carpi
30%
Draws
58%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzignano come out ahead of Carpi on wins alone.
  • Arzignano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Carpi Clean Sheet 13%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Arzignano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Arzignano
0:3
Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Arzignano vs Carpi
0:2
Mar 25, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Arzignano
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Arzignano vs Carpi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattioli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 27 / 100
Arzignano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Arzignano has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Carpi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS Arzignano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Arzignano

(Away)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)