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Carpi vs Matelica

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
Carpi Logo

Carpi

4 - 1
FT
Matelica Logo

Matelica

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ferretti A.
21' Event
Ferretti A.
32'
Mbaye M. M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Carpi in this Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Carpi
20%
Draws
52%
Matelica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Carpi haven't matched Matelica's recent run of results.
  • Matelica are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Carpi Clean Sheet 18%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi Matelica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Matelica
4:1
Jan 20, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Carpi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferretti A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabotic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Matelica Compare

Top Goalscorer Volpicelli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi 28 / 100
Matelica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi Matelica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Matelica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Carpi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi

(Home)
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1
Carpi
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2
Pianese
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

Matelica

(Away)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia 38 23 10 5 67:30 79
2 Padova 38 24 7 7 68:26 79
3 Sudtirol 38 21 12 5 66:29 75
4 Modena 38 21 7 10 51:28 70
5 FeralpiSalo 38 17 9 12 54:46 60
6 Triestina 38 15 14 9 48:40 59
7 Cesena 38 15 12 11 51:42 57
8 Matelica 38 16 8 14 59:62 56
9 Sambenedettese 38 14 12 12 43:43 50
10 Mantova 38 12 13 13 47:49 49
11 Virtus Verona 38 11 16 11 43:44 49
12 Gubbio 38 12 12 14 40:45 48
13 Fermana 38 9 15 14 31:44 42
14 Vis Pesaro 38 11 8 19 41:57 41
15 Carpi 38 10 11 17 45:62 41
16 Legnago Salus 38 8 14 16 35:47 38
17 Imolese 38 9 8 21 34:55 35
18 Fano 38 5 18 15 32:47 33
19 Ravenna 38 6 12 20 32:62 30
20 Arezzo 38 5 14 19 37:66 29
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)