Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Bellini L.
18'
18'
Bellini L.
46'
46'
Morosini L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carpi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Pianese haven't matched Carpi's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Carpi's way, sitting at 42%.
- Carpi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pianese, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Carpi Clean Sheet 20%
Pianese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carpi | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Carpi vs Pianese
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Pianese
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Carpi
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Pianese
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Carpi
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Morosini L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Puletto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pianese Compare
Top Goalscorer Bellini L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carpi 42 / 100
Pianese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carpi Pianese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpi's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Pianese let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Carpi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carpi VS Pianese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Carpi
(Home) 27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 4
Pianese
(Away) 26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
23 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0 Pianese
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2 Pianese
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
