Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carquefou vs Pont Du Gard

France France

National 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Clemence S.
43' Event
Bru J.
63' Event
Do Marcolino F.

AI Match Summary

Carquefou in this National 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carquefou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Carquefou
15%
Draws
73%
Pont Du Gard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pont Du Gard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Carquefou have won more games recently than Pont Du Gard.
  • Model gives Carquefou a 12% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Carquefou have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Carquefou Clean Sheet 68%
Pont Du Gard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carquefou Pont Du Gard
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2014 Ligue 3
Carquefou vs Pont Du Gard
2:1
Jan 17, 2014 Ligue 3
Pont Du Gard vs Carquefou
0:0
Apr 19, 2013 Ligue 3
Pont Du Gard vs Carquefou
0:2
Nov 24, 2012 Ligue 3
Carquefou vs Pont Du Gard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carquefou Compare

Top Goalscorer Clemence S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Do Marcolino F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pont Du Gard Compare

Top Goalscorer Bru J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carquefou 68 / 100
Pont Du Gard 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carquefou Pont Du Gard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carquefou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pont Du Gard conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Carquefou found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pont Du Gard lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carquefou VS Pont Du Gard
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carquefou

(Home)
13 Nov
Carquefou
0 : 1
US Tregunc
16 Nov
Fougeres
2 : 1
Carquefou
23 May
GFC Ajaccio
4 : 1
Carquefou
16 May
Carquefou
1 : 2
Amiens SC
09 May
Luzenac
2 : 2
Carquefou
Page 1 of 6

Pont Du Gard

(Away)
23 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 1
Pont Du Gard
16 May
Pont Du Gard
0 : 3
GFC Ajaccio
09 May
Pont Du Gard
2 : 1
Red Star
02 May
Colomiers
1 : 2
Pont Du Gard
25 Apr
Pont Du Gard
1 : 2
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 17 14 3 46:22 65
2 Luzenac 34 17 12 5 51:30 63
3 GFC Ajaccio 34 17 9 8 45:27 60
4 Colmar 34 13 11 10 37:39 50
5 Dunkerque 34 12 14 8 35:30 50
6 Amiens SC 34 12 13 9 32:24 49
7 Red Star 34 12 12 10 37:33 48
8 Carquefou 34 11 14 9 32:30 47
9 Paris FC 34 11 13 10 32:27 46
10 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 12 10 12 35:35 44
11 Bourg Peronnas 34 11 10 13 38:45 43
12 Lucon 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Le Poire Sur Vie 34 11 8 15 37:52 41
14 Boulogne 34 11 7 16 36:40 40
15 Colomiers 34 10 9 15 39:39 39
16 Strasbourg 34 8 11 15 36:40 35
17 Vannes 34 6 14 14 35:45 29
18 Pont Du Gard 34 5 8 21 25:61 23
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)