Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carrarese vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Delli Carri F.
49' Event
Hernani
56'
Sub
Parlanti G. In: Rubino T.
Out: Parlanti G.

AI Match Summary

Monza in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Carrarese
6%
Draws
90%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Monza have won more games recently than Carrarese.
  • Model gives Monza a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 11%
Monza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Monza
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.86 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Monza
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Carrarese
4:1
Mar 25, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Carrarese vs Monza
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Monza vs Carrarese
2:2
Feb 4, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Carrarese vs Monza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernani
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 10 / 100
Monza 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monza let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Carrarese scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Carrarese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Monza
0.86 Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Frosinone
3 : 0
Carrarese
19 Apr
Carrarese
2 : 2
Pescara
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Monza

(Away)
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)