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Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Abiuso F.
45'
Palma M.
57'
Sub
Soleri E. In: Coda M.
Out: Soleri E.

AI Match Summary

Carrarese in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrarese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Carrarese
20%
Draws
64%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sampdoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Sampdoria's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Sampdoria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
3:2
Apr 25, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 41 / 100
Sampdoria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrarese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Sampdoria registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Carrarese's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Sampdoria
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)