Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carrarese vs Sampdoria

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Abiuso F.
45'
Palma M.
57'
Sub
Soleri E. In: Coda M.
Out: Soleri E.

AI Match Summary

Carrarese in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrarese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Carrarese
6%
Draws
90%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sampdoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Sampdoria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sampdoria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 23%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Sampdoria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
3:2
Apr 25, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Sampdoria
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrarese Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 10 / 100
Sampdoria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Carrarese scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Carrarese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Sampdoria
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Frosinone
3 : 0
Carrarese
19 Apr
Carrarese
2 : 2
Pescara
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Sampdoria

(Away)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)