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Carregado vs Monsanto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012
Carregado Logo

Carregado

4 - 0
FT
Monsanto Logo

Monsanto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 game between Carregado and Monsanto finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carregado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carregado
30%
Draws
41%
Monsanto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monsanto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Carregado's 1.31 goals per match outpaces what Monsanto have produced (1.19).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Carregado taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Carregado Clean Sheet 19%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carregado Monsanto
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Carregado vs Monsanto
4:0
Sep 18, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Monsanto vs Carregado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carregado 36 / 100
Monsanto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carregado Monsanto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carregado scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Monsanto let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Carregado went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carregado VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carregado

(Home)
24 May
Carregado
2 : 2
AD Portomosense
11 May
Fatima
1 : 3
Carregado
04 May
Riachense
6 : 2
Carregado
27 Apr
Carregado
2 : 2
Torreense
19 Apr
Alcanenense
2 : 1
Carregado
Page 1 of 7

Monsanto

(Away)
29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0
Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5
Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1
Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatima 30 18 6 6 50:30 60
2 Oriental 30 16 8 6 49:17 56
3 Torreense 30 15 11 4 47:27 56
4 Carregado 30 15 8 7 57:38 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 16 5 9 47:32 53
6 Mafra 30 10 16 4 33:22 46
7 Louletano 30 13 7 10 28:33 46
8 Sertanense 30 11 10 9 37:32 43
9 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 11 5 14 35:34 38
10 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 30:34 35
11 1º Dezembro 30 8 10 12 28:29 34
12 Juv. Evora 30 9 5 16 29:42 32
13 Monsanto 30 6 11 13 25:41 29
14 Atletico SC 30 5 11 14 31:50 26
15 Moura AC 30 6 7 17 28:57 25
16 Caldas SC 30 3 9 18 17:53 18
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)