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Carrick Rangers vs Ards

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
O'Conchubhair D.

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
31%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carrick Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Ards.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Carrick Rangers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Ards Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Ards
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ards
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ards
2:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ards
1:3
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ards
4:4
Jan 4, 2020 Irish Cup
Ards vs Carrick Rangers
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Conchubhair D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ards Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 84 / 100
Ards 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Ards's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Ards
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Portadown
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
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Ards

(Away)
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
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