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Carrick Rangers vs Belfast Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2020/2021 Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Smith M.
72' Event
Loughran C.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Forsythe K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Carrick Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
36%
Belfast Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Carrick Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Carrick Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Belfast Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Belfast Celtic
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.06 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Belfast Celtic vs Carrick Rangers
1:2
Apr 27, 2021 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Belfast Celtic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forsythe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Belfast Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 84 / 100
Belfast Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Belfast Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Belfast Celtic has conceded goals in 80% of their last 10 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Belfast Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 7

Belfast Celtic

(Away)
14 Jan
Moyola
1 : 0
Belfast Celtic
23 Nov
Portstewart
0 : 1
Belfast Celtic
03 Aug
Belfast Celtic
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
20 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 0
Belfast Celtic
27 Apr
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0
Belfast Celtic
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Larne -
Newry City -
Ards -
Dollingstown -
Carrick Rangers 3
Belfast Celtic 0
Queens University -
Bangor FC -
Glentoran -
Dundela -
Cliftonville 5
Portstewart 1
Knockbreda 2
Newington FC 1
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Institute -
PSNI -
Ballinamallard 2
Dergview 3
Harland & Wolff -
St. James' Swifts -
Loughgall 2
Banbridge 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 2
Annagh 0
Glenavon 1
Dungannon 2
1/8-finals
Larne 8
Dollingstown 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 1
Cliftonville 0
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 5
Ballymena 5
PSNI 0
Dergview 2
St. James' Swifts 0
Loughgall 1
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Dungannon 2
Quarter-finals
Larne 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 0
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 5
Dergview 0
Loughgall 1
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Larne 2
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 0
Linfield 3
Final
Larne 1
Linfield 2