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Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Samuels O.
10' Event
Hawthorne C.
15' Event
McClelland K.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cliftonville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
36%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Cliftonville have produced (1.4).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Carrick Rangers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cliftonville here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Cliftonville
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
1:3
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
1:2
Apr 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawthorne C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer McClelland K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinn B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 41 / 100
Cliftonville 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Cliftonville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Cliftonville has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Cliftonville's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Cliftonville
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

Cliftonville

(Away)
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Glentoran 10 5 1 4 15:10 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)