Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016

Carrick Rangers

1 - 0

Crumlin Star

Our Tip

Match Events

62'

McKernan G.

62'

Chines M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Carrick Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Carrick Rangers

15%

Draws

51%

Crumlin Star

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Crumlin Star carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Carrick Rangers a 42% chance of winning this.
Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 20%

Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Carrick Rangers	Crumlin Star
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	19	21
Draws	5	0
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	2.33	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.36	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.92	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2016 Irish Cup

Carrick Rangers vs Crumlin Star

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 42 / 100

Crumlin Star 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Carrick Rangers Crumlin Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Crumlin Star let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Crumlin Star's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS -

2.63 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)

15 Sept

Ballymena

1 : 1

Carrick Rangers

12 Sept

Carrick Rangers

1 : 3

Cliftonville

05 Sept

Linfield

1 : 0

Carrick Rangers

29 Aug

Bangor FC

0 : 4

Carrick Rangers

22 Aug

Carrick Rangers

0 : 2

Coleraine

Page 1 of 7

Crumlin Star

(Away)

06 Jan

Institute

2 : 0

Crumlin Star

25 Dec

Crumlin Star

2 : 3

Comber Rec

25 Nov

Crumlin Star

2 : 0

Limavady

04 Jan

Ballymena

2 : 0

Crumlin Star

30 Nov

Coagh Utd

0 : 1

Crumlin Star

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Dromore Amateurs 0

Bloomfield 1

Desertmartin 4

Ballywalter Recreation 4

Iveagh Utd 2

Foundry 0

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 5

Dungiven 1

TBD -

Groomsport -

Newcastle 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Colin Valley 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Laurelvale 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 8

Rathcoole 3

Ballymacash 2

Craigavon City 3

Lower Maze 4

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 2

Saintfield 1

Bryansburn 2

Killyleagh Youth 3

Malachians 1

Grove 0

Windmill 0

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Oxford Sunnyside 2

Rosario Youth 7

Rathfern Rangers 4

Richhill 2

Ballynahinch United 2

Valley Rangers 4

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 2

Islandmagee 1

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Derriaghy 4

Seapatrick 1

Killymoon 0

Portaferry Rovers 0

Banbridge Rangers 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Nortel 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Moneyslane FC 2

Barn 1

Chimney 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Shankill 4

Donard 2

Markethill 1

St. Patricks Young 2

St. Marys 3

Fivemiletown 2

TBD -

Downpatrick -

Strabane Athletic 11

Kilmore Rec 0

East Belfast 1

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 3

Broomhill 2

Drumaness 1

Dunloy 4

Newry City 5

Ardstraw 1

Shorts 0

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Newbuildings 2

Crewe 3

Brantwood 2

Magherafelt 1

Ballynure Old Boys 1

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Hanover 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Mossley FC 1

U. U. Jordanstown 1

Abbey Villa 4

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 2

Desertmartin 1

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Tandragee 4

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 4

Groomsport 1

Newcastle 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 10

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Rathcoole 1

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 3

Killyleagh Youth 1

Malachians 0

Comber Rec 1

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Rosario Youth 1

Rathfern Rangers 1

Valley Rangers 3

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 6

Derriaghy 1

Seapatrick 0

Banbridge Rangers 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 9

Seagoe 1

Moneyslane FC 2

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 3

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Shankill 1

St. Patricks Young 4

St. Marys 3

Downpatrick 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 10

Dunloy 2

Newry City 1

Crumlin Star 2

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Crewe 0

Brantwood 2

Sirocco 3

Dunmurry Rec 5

Hanover 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Abbey Villa 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Tandragee 0

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 3

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 4

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 4

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Valley Rangers 0

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 5

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 1

St. Patricks Young 0

St. Marys 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 0

Crumlin Star 5

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart 3

Moyola 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 6

Dergview 1

Newtowne FC 1

Institute 2

Immaculata 2

Dundela 0

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Wakehurst 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda 3

Lisburn Distillery 2

Dollingstown 1

Annagh 2

Bangor FC 5

Coagh Utd 0

Ardglass 0

Lurgan Celtic 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Harland & Wolff 3

Ards 7

Donegal 0

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI 2

Newington FC 1

Queens University 1

Tobermore 2

Larne 2

Limavady 0

Trojans 1

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Banbridge 4

Oxford Stars 3

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare 0

Crumlin Star 1

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Linfield 2

Ballymena 1

Portstewart 2

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 3

Institute 2

Immaculata 0

Cliftonville 2

Portadown 6

Wakehurst 1

Ballinamallard 2

Coleraine 3

Knockbreda 5

Annagh 1

Bangor FC 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Glenavon 4

Harland & Wolff 1

Ards 1

Glentoran 4

PSNI 2

Tobermore 0

Larne 2

Loughgall 5

Carrick Rangers 2

Banbridge 0

Oxford Stars 2

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon 4

Warrenpoint 3

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

1/8-finals

Linfield 7

Armagh 0

Sport & Leisure 0

Cliftonville 4

Portadown 3

Coleraine 1

Knockbreda 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glenavon 4

Glentoran 1

PSNI 0

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Crumlin Star 0

Dungannon 1

Crusaders 3

Quarter-finals

Linfield 3

Cliftonville 0

Portadown 2

Lurgan Celtic 3

Glenavon 2

Loughgall 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Linfield 3

Lurgan Celtic 0

Glenavon 4

Crusaders 3

Final

Linfield 0

Glenavon 2

Carrick Rangers vs Crumlin Star

Northern Ireland

Carrick Rangers

Crumlin Star

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

Crumlin Star

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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