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Carrick Rangers vs Linfield

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
East E. In: Taylor S.
Out: East E.
36'
Leahy D.
45' Event
Olosunde M.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Carrick Rangers and Linfield finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
42%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of Linfield on wins alone.
  • Model gives Carrick Rangers a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Linfield
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Carrick Rangers
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Olosunde M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCullough L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Linfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 57 / 100
Linfield 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Linfield has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Carrick Rangers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Linfield
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Portadown
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
21 Aug
Linfield
1 : 0
Cliftonville
15 Aug
Linfield
2 : 1
Glentoran
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Larne 33 22 7 4 60:22 73
2 Glentoran 33 21 6 6 63:30 69
3 Coleraine 33 20 5 8 62:31 65
4 Linfield 33 18 8 7 56:24 62
5 Cliftonville 33 13 8 12 49:48 47
6 Dungannon 33 15 1 17 40:58 46
7 Carrick Rangers 33 12 7 14 49:51 43
8 Bangor FC 33 10 6 17 38:57 36
9 Portadown 33 11 3 19 36:57 36
10 Ballymena 33 9 7 17 39:50 34
11 Crusaders 33 7 5 21 38:72 26
12 Glenavon 33 8 1 24 33:63 25
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)