Sport Picks
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Carrick Rangers have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Newry City's 1.5 scored and 1.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Carrick Rangers slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2025, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward Carrick Rangers. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Carrick Rangers have won more games recently than Newry City.
- Model gives Carrick Rangers a 36% chance of winning this.
- Carrick Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newry City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carrick Rangers | Newry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Carrick Rangers scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Newry City let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
