Sport Picks
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2024/2025 Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus 
Match Events
6'
6'
Forde L.
17'
17'
McNickle R.
27'
27'
Maciulaitis N.
AI Match Summary
Carrick Rangers in this Irish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Carrick Rangers have won more games recently than Newry City.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Carrick Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newry City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 11%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carrick Rangers | Newry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City
4:3
Apr 16, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Carrick Rangers
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City
0:1
Dec 22, 2023 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Carrick Rangers
0:1
Nov 7, 2023 Irish League Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carrick Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Maciulaitis N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Clucas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Newry City Compare
Top Goalscorer Forde L.
1 Goals Assists Leader McNickle R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carrick Rangers 35 / 100
Newry City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carrick Rangers Newry City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Newry City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carrick Rangers VS Newry City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Carrick Rangers
(Home) 03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0 Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0 Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3 Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0 Crusaders
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3 Cliftonville
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2 Coleraine
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0 Portadown
Page 1 of 3
Newry City
(Away) 03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1 Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2 Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1 Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2 Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1 Newry City
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2 Newry City
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3 Newry City
15 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 2 Newry City
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1 Newry City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Knockbreda 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Banbridge Rangers 2
Queens University 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Moyola 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Dollingstown 1
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Dergview -
Islandmagee 0
Ballymacash 4
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 3
Limavady 1
Larne 0
Cliftonville 4
Banbridge Rangers 0
Glenavon 2
Dundela 0
Belfast Celtic 0
Moyola 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 2
Dollingstown 1
Ballyclare 0
Institute 2
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 1
Annagh 3
Portadown 2
Harland & Wolff 2
Glentoran 4
Linfield 4
Wellington Rec 0
Ballymacash 1
Ballinamallard 2
Carrick Rangers 4
Newry City 3
Dungannon 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Coleraine 5
Armagh 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 1
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 3
Glenavon 2
Moyola 1
Ards 3
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 3
Annagh 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 1
Ballinamallard 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 2
Ards 2
Loughgall 0
Bangor FC 3
Glentoran 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Ards 0
Bangor FC 0
Dungannon 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
