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Carrigaline Utd vs Tullamore

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrigaline Utd in this FAI Cup 2009 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Carrigaline Utd
15%
Draws
64%
Tullamore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tullamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tullamore lately — more wins on the board than Carrigaline Utd.
  • Tullamore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tullamore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Carrigaline Utd, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carrigaline Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Tullamore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrigaline Utd Tullamore
Matches Played 8 10
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2009 FAI Cup
Carrigaline Utd vs Tullamore
2:1
Apr 25, 2009 FAI Cup
Tullamore vs Carrigaline Utd
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrigaline Utd 10 / 100
Tullamore 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrigaline Utd Tullamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tullamore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tullamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 10 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Carrigaline Utd scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Solid form: Carrigaline Utd remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrigaline Utd VS Tullamore
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrigaline Utd

(Home)
19 Jul
Carrigaline Utd
1 : 2
Wilton United
03 Apr
Carrigaline Utd
0 : 5
Bluebell Utd
26 Apr
Avondale United
4 : 1
Carrigaline Utd
13 Jun
Waterford
6 : 0
Carrigaline Utd
23 May
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 2
Carrigaline Utd
Page 1 of 2

Tullamore

(Away)
05 Jun
Tullamore
1 : 3
Salthill
16 May
Tullamore
2 : 1
Fairview Rangers
13 Apr
Monaghan United
6 : 1
Tullamore
27 Mar
Tullamore
3 : 2
Carlow
25 Mar
Tullamore
4 : 1
Cherry Orchard
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2