Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carrigaline Utd vs Wilton United Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
McCarthy C.
36' Event
Walker R.
56' Event
Olajitan I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Wilton United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Carrigaline Utd
15%
Draws
65%
Wilton United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wilton United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Wilton United's 1 goals per match outpaces what Carrigaline Utd have produced (0.75).
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Wilton United taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Wilton United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Carrigaline Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Wilton United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrigaline Utd Wilton United
Matches Played 8 3
Wins 2 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.88 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 FAI Cup
Carrigaline Utd vs Wilton United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrigaline Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Wilton United Compare

Top Goalscorer McCarthy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olajitan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrigaline Utd 22 / 100
Wilton United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrigaline Utd Wilton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wilton United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wilton United let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Carrigaline Utd scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Carrigaline Utd went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrigaline Utd VS Wilton United
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrigaline Utd

(Home)
19 Jul
Carrigaline Utd
1 : 2
Wilton United
03 Apr
Carrigaline Utd
0 : 5
Bluebell Utd
26 Apr
Avondale United
4 : 1
Carrigaline Utd
13 Jun
Waterford
6 : 0
Carrigaline Utd
23 May
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 2
Carrigaline Utd
Page 1 of 2

Wilton United

(Away)
16 Aug
Drogheda
9 : 0
Wilton United
19 Jul
Carrigaline Utd
1 : 2
Wilton United
19 May
Wilton United
1 : 0
Glebe North

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
College Corinthians 4
Cobh Wanderers 5
Maynooth University 1
Gorey Rangers 4
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
Cockhill 7
Ayrfield United 1
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Wilton United 1
Glebe North 0
TBD -
Carrigaline Utd -
Ballyfermot 3
Rockmount 0
TBD -
Leeds Cork -
Wayside Celtic 2
Collinstown 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilbarrack Utd -
Pike Rovers 2
Villa FC 1
Midleton 3
St Francis 0
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 3
Cobh Wanderers 0
Gorey Rangers 0
UC Dublin 4
Cobh Ramblers 0
Kerry 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 1
Finn Harps 0
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 1
Galway United 6
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Cockhill 1
Athlone 1
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Drogheda 2
Dundalk 1
Wilton United 2
Carrigaline Utd 1
Ballyfermot 3
Leeds Cork 1
Wayside Celtic 1
Wexford 3
Treaty United 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
Pike Rovers 3
Midleton 1
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 0
UC Dublin 2
Kerry 2
Bohemians 3
Cork City 0
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Galway United 1
Waterford 2
Athlone 3
Drogheda 9
Wilton United 0
Ballyfermot 0
Wexford 3
Treaty United 7
Pike Rovers 0
Quarter-finals
UC Dublin 0
Bohemians 4
Derry City 2
Shelbourne 0
Athlone 1
Drogheda 4
Wexford 4
Treaty United 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
Drogheda 3
Wexford 2
Final
Derry City 0
Drogheda 2