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Carroi vs Casa de Portugal

Andorra Andorra

Andorra Cup
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
0 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Carroi
20%
Draws
40%
Casa de Portugal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carroi come out ahead of Casa de Portugal on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Carroi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Casa de Portugal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Carroi Clean Sheet 18%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Casa de Portugal
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 4 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.61 1
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Andorra Cup
Carroi vs Casa de Portugal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 32 / 100
Casa de Portugal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Casa de Portugal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa de Portugal let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Away concern: Casa de Portugal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Carroi scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Casa de Portugal
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

Casa de Portugal

(Away)
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Casa de Portugal
1 : 1
FC Rangers
12 Mar
Casa de Portugal
1 : 4
Inter Escaldes
11 Jan
Carroi
0 : 1
Casa de Portugal

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Penya 0
FC Rangers 3
FC Santa Coloma 5
Sporting Escaldes 1
UE Santa Coloma 2
Principat 0
City Escaldes FC 1
Ordino 2
Atletic Escaldes -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca -
Carroi 0
Casa de Portugal 1
La Massana 0
Inter Escaldes 3
Quarter-finals
FC Rangers 0
FC Santa Coloma 1
UE Santa Coloma 3
Ordino 0
Atletic Escaldes 5
Esperanca 0
Casa de Portugal 1
Inter Escaldes 4
Semi-finals
FC Santa Coloma 3
UE Santa Coloma 0
Atletic Escaldes 2
Inter Escaldes 1
Final
FC Santa Coloma 2
Atletic Escaldes 3