Sport Picks

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Carroi vs Lusitanos

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Munoz Caballe A. M.

AI Match Summary

Carroi in this Primera Divisió 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Carroi
30%
Draws
23%
Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lusitanos haven't matched Carroi's recent run of results.
  • Carroi are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Carroi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Carroi, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carroi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Carroi Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Lusitanos
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.79 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Andorra Cup
Carroi vs Lusitanos
3:1
May 29, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Carroi
1:1
May 22, 2019 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Lusitanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz Caballe A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lusitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 36 / 100
Lusitanos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Lusitanos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Carroi's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 7

Lusitanos

(Away)
19 Jan
Carroi
3 : 1
Lusitanos
29 May
Lusitanos
1 : 1
Carroi
22 May
Carroi
1 : 0
Lusitanos
19 May
Encamp
1 : 0
Lusitanos
11 May
Lusitanos
0 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lusitanos 1
Carroi 2