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Carroi vs Ordino

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Waldrep E.
58'
Baaloul A.
60'
Oulai J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Carroi and Ordino finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Carroi
20%
Draws
57%
Ordino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ordino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ordino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ordino's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Carroi Clean Sheet 13%
Ordino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Ordino
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.61 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Ordino
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
3:1
May 19, 2024 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Ordino
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Otto K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ordino Compare

Top Goalscorer Servat Vidal P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 22 / 100
Ordino 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Ordino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordino let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Carroi scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Carroi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Ordino
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

Ordino

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
FC Santa Coloma
0 : 1
Ordino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)