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Carroi vs UE Engordany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Acosta M.
56' Event
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Carroi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Carroi
15%
Draws
0%
UE Engordany
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Carroi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Carroi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Carroi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UE Engordany, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Carroi Clean Sheet 20%
UE Engordany Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi UE Engordany
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Primera Divisió
UE Engordany vs Carroi
0:2
May 27, 2023 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs UE Engordany
2:0
May 14, 2022 Primera Divisió
UE Engordany vs Carroi
1:2
Apr 24, 2022 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs UE Engordany
0:2
Feb 13, 2022 Primera Divisió
UE Engordany vs Carroi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

UE Engordany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 85 / 100
UE Engordany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi UE Engordany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carroi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Engordany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Away concern: UE Engordany has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Carroi scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
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UE Engordany

(Away)
31 May
UE Engordany
0 : 2
Carroi
27 May
Carroi
2 : 0
UE Engordany
21 May
UE Santa Coloma
5 : 0
UE Engordany
14 May
UE Engordany
1 : 7
Atletic Escaldes
07 May
UE Engordany
1 : 2
Ordino
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
UE Engordany 0
Carroi 4