Sport Picks
Cartagena La Union vs Base Abaran
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 AI Match Summary
Cartagena La Union in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena La Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cartagena La Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Base Abaran haven't matched Cartagena La Union's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena La Union taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Cartagena La Union have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 20%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartagena La Union | Base Abaran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 21 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Base Abaran
2:1
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Cartagena La Union
1:3
May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Base Abaran
6:0
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Cartagena La Union
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cartagena La Union 85 / 100
Base Abaran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cartagena La Union Base Abaran
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagena La Union scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Base Abaran conceded in 91% of 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Recent resilience: Cartagena La Union stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Base Abaran
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cartagena La Union
(Home) 29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
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22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
21 Apr
Cartagena La Union
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
10 Apr
Cartagena La Union
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
27 Mar
Cartagena La Union
2 : 0 Beniel
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Base Abaran
(Away) 13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
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13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
01 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1 Base Abaran
21 Mar
EF Esperanza
3 : 0 Base Abaran
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 84:26 | 86 |
| 2 | Yeclano | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 93:38 | 84 |
| 3 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 95:36 | 84 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 82:38 | 83 |
| 5 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 84:40 | 81 |
| 6 | Pinatar | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 68:28 | 80 |
| 7 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 81:33 | 80 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61:56 | 52 |
| 9 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 59:56 | 52 |
| 10 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:45 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48:57 | 48 |
| 12 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:73 | 47 |
| 13 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 59:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Beniel | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54:71 | 42 |
| 15 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 44:70 | 36 |
| 16 | Base Abaran | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 26:81 | 31 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 47:76 | 30 |
| 18 | Mazarron FC | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 40:69 | 28 |
| 19 | CD Lumbreras | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:127 | 18 |
| 20 | Jumilla CD | 38 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 31:111 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
