Sport Picks
Cartagena La Union vs Moratalla
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Cartagena La Union and Moratalla finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena La Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagena La Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cartagena La Union come out ahead of Moratalla on wins alone.
- Cartagena La Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 20%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartagena La Union | Moratalla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Moratalla
3:2
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Cartagena La Union
0:1
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Cartagena La Union
2:2
Oct 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Moratalla
1:1
Jan 13, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Cartagena La Union
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cartagena La Union 85 / 100
Moratalla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cartagena La Union Moratalla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagena La Union found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Moratalla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cartagena La Union stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cartagena La Union VS Moratalla
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cartagena La Union
(Home) 29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
21 Apr
Cartagena La Union
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
10 Apr
Cartagena La Union
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
27 Mar
Cartagena La Union
2 : 0 Beniel
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Moratalla
(Away) 15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3 UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1 Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3 Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0 Moratalla
Page 1 of 6
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4 Moratalla
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1 Moratalla
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0 Moratalla
03 Apr
Bala Azul
2 : 0 Moratalla
20 Mar
Plus Ultra
0 : 0 Moratalla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
