Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Manotas M.
29'
Alomia J.
34'
Pino D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Cartagena and Atletico F.C. finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagena
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico F.C.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagena come out ahead of Atletico F.C. on wins alone.
  • Cartagena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cartagena have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Atletico F.C.
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.
4:1
Oct 5, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.
4:0
Apr 25, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Cartagena
1:2
Sep 12, 2024 Primera B
Cartagena vs Atletico F.C.
3:0
Apr 4, 2024 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Cartagena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Manotas M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Alomia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 95 / 100
Atletico F.C. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Atletico F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Cartagena found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Cartagena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Atletico F.C.
1.13 Goals Scored 0.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
22 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Barranquilla
18 May
Bogota
1 : 2
Cartagena
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Atletico F.C.

(Away)
30 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 8
Millonarios
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
11 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 1
Patriotas
07 May
Llaneros
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
18 Apr
Atletico F.C.
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)