Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartagena vs Barranquilla

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Munoz J. In: Oviedo P.
Out: Munoz J.
35'
Sub
Lozano J. In: Ortiz Javier
Out: Lozano J.
46'
Sub
Montero F. In: Solarte Espana J. A.
Out: Montero F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Cartagena and Barranquilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cartagena
20%
Draws
30%
Barranquilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cartagena a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Barranquilla
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Barranquilla
2:1
Apr 27, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Cartagena
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Barranquilla
1:3
Oct 10, 2025 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Cartagena
3:1
Sep 7, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Barranquilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Guevara L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manotas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Barranquilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 59 / 100
Barranquilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Barranquilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barranquilla has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Cartagena scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cartagena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Barranquilla
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 7

Barranquilla

(Away)
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)