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Cartagena vs Boca Juniors de Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Urrutia P.
19' Event
Andrade J.
46'
Sub
Rios J. In: Gallego J. P.
Out: Rios J.

AI Match Summary

Boca Juniors de Cali in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boca Juniors de Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cartagena
30%
Draws
51%
Boca Juniors de Cali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Juniors de Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagena lately — more wins on the board than Boca Juniors de Cali.
  • Win probability leans Boca Juniors de Cali's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 15%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Boca Juniors de Cali
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
2:3
Mar 27, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Cartagena
1:1
Nov 24, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Cartagena
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Cartagena
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Boca Juniors de Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Urrutia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 15 / 100
Boca Juniors de Cali 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Boca Juniors de Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors de Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Boca Juniors de Cali let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cartagena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Boca Juniors de Cali
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 7

Boca Juniors de Cali

(Away)
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)