Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartagena vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Betancurt M.
34' Event
Marulanda M.
34'
Sub
Graciano C. In: Melendez A.
Out: Graciano C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cartagena
20%
Draws
15%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Cartagena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cartagena a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Cartagena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Envigado, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Envigado
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 15 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.49 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Cartagena
1:1
May 26, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Envigado
2:3
Mar 16, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Cartagena
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Copa Colombia
Cartagena vs Envigado
2:1
May 8, 2024 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Cartagena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Marulanda M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 95 / 100
Envigado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Envigado conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Cartagena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Envigado
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6
Cartagena
20 Aug
Cartagena
2 : 0
Bogota
Page 1 of 7

Envigado

(Away)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Cartagena 3
Envigado 4