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Cartagena W vs Alianza W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena W play Alianza W in the Liga Aguila Women 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cartagena W averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Alianza W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Cartagena W won 2, Alianza W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Cartagena W and 1.05 for Alianza W. This points to a Cartagena W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cartagena W
15%
Draws
31%
Alianza W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cartagena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Cartagena W picked up more points recently compared to Alianza W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Cartagena W Clean Sheet 22%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena W Alianza W
Matches Played 18 36
Wins 5 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 0.94 1
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Cartagena W
0:1
Feb 20, 2017 Liga Women
Cartagena W vs Alianza W
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena W 53 / 100
Alianza W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena W Alianza W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cartagena W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cartagena W attacking → ← attacking Alianza W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena W scored in 50% of their last 18 games.

Alianza W let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cartagena W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Alianza W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Envigado W10100036:330
2Bucaramanga W1060419:1118
3Cartagena W1051414:1216
4Union Magdalena W1051413:1416
5Alianza W1011810:334
6Real Santander W101187:264
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indep. Santa Fe W10100032:530
2Cucuta W1060422:1618
3Huila W1052321:1317
4Patriotas W1023511:209
5Fortaleza W102178:237
6Inter Bogotá W102086:236
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orsomarso W1081122:425
2Inter Palmira W1062223:820
3America de Cali W1054124:919
4Dep. Pasto W102176:267
5Quindio W102178:197
6Deportivo Pereira W1021710:277