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Cartagena W vs Alianza W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena W in this Liga Aguila Women 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cartagena W
15%
Draws
85%
Alianza W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza W have won more games recently than Cartagena W.
  • Model gives Alianza W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cartagena W Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena W Alianza W
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Cartagena W
0:1
Feb 20, 2017 Liga Women
Cartagena W vs Alianza W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena W 10 / 100
Alianza W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena W Alianza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Alianza W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Cartagena W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alianza W
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena W

(Home)
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
25 Apr
Cartagena W
1 : 3
Junior W
21 Mar
Union Magdalena W
4 : 0
Cartagena W
19 Mar
Cartagena W
0 : 5
Atl. Nacional W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

Alianza W

(Away)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado W 10 10 0 0 36:3 30
2 Bucaramanga W 10 6 0 4 19:11 18
3 Cartagena W 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
4 Union Magdalena W 10 5 1 4 13:14 16
5 Alianza W 10 1 1 8 10:33 4
6 Real Santander W 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 10 0 0 32:5 30
2 Cucuta W 10 6 0 4 22:16 18
3 Huila W 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
4 Patriotas W 10 2 3 5 11:20 9
5 Fortaleza W 10 2 1 7 8:23 7
6 Inter Bogotá W 10 2 0 8 6:23 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 10 8 1 1 22:4 25
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 23:8 20
3 America de Cali W 10 5 4 1 24:9 19
4 Dep. Pasto W 10 2 1 7 6:26 7
5 Quindio W 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Deportivo Pereira W 10 2 1 7 10:27 7
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams