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Cartagines vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Olimpia have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Cartagines have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.89. Past meetings favor Olimpia slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Olimpia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cartagines
15%
Draws
49%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Olimpia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Olimpia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.89 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olimpia vs Cartagines
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Olimpia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 10 / 100
Olimpia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Olimpia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Cartagines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Olimpia
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
14 Oct
Cartagines
3 : 1
Puntarenas FC
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
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Olimpia

(Away)
16 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 1
Real Espana
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Olimpia 6
Luis Angel Firpo 0
Cartagines 5
Saprissa 4
Alajuelense 5
Marathon 3
Alianza FC 0
Motagua 3
Semi-finals
Olimpia -
Cartagines -
Alajuelense -
Motagua -
Final
TBD -
TBD -