Sport Picks

Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza

Cartagines

2 - 1

San Carlos

Our Tip

Match Events

McDonald J.

11'

Sub

Cordero R. In: Faerron F.

Out: Cordero R.

11'

Fonseca P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cartagines in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Cartagines

Draws

San Carlos

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Cartagines lately — more wins on the board than San Carlos.
Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Cartagines here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

San Carlos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cartagines	San Carlos
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	8
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Primera Division

Cartagines vs San Carlos

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Mar 2, 2026 Primera Division

San Carlos vs Cartagines

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division

Cartagines vs San Carlos

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division

San Carlos vs Cartagines

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Apr 17, 2025 Primera Division

San Carlos vs Cartagines

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaete J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lanfranchi E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Venegas J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 95 / 100

San Carlos 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cartagines San Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Cartagines scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cartagines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS San Carlos

1.38 Goals Scored 0.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Herediano	18	12	2	4	26:10	38
2	Saprissa	18	10	4	4	34:19	34
3	Liberia	18	10	3	5	24:18	33
4	Cartagines	18	10	2	6	26:20	32
5	Alajuelense	18	7	5	6	28:20	26
6	Sporting FC	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
7	San Carlos	18	6	3	9	21:25	21
8	Puntarenas FC	18	4	4	10	22:29	16
9	Zeledon	18	2	8	8	19:30	14
10	Guadalupe	18	3	5	10	13:37	14