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Cartagines vs Saprissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagines host Saprissa in the Primera Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Cartagines at 1.7 goals for, 1.2 against; Saprissa at 2.12 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Cartagines have won 2 to Saprissa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.25 - 1.38) back Saprissa to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cartagines
20%
Draws
33%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Saprissa have won more games recently than Cartagines.
  • Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 17%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Saprissa
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Saprissa
3:2
Sep 10, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
2:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 48 / 100
Saprissa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cartagines scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Saprissa conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Cartagines remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Saprissa
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
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Saprissa

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)