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Cartagines vs Saprissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gonzalez J.
40'
Torres G.
40'
Montero C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cartagines
20%
Draws
33%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Saprissa have won more games recently than Cartagines.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cartagines taking it.
  • Saprissa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cartagines, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Saprissa
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Saprissa
3:2
Sep 10, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
2:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escobar F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 68 / 100
Saprissa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cartagines scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Saprissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Cartagines has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Saprissa
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

Saprissa

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Olimpia 6
Luis Angel Firpo 0
Cartagines 5
Saprissa 4
Alajuelense 5
Marathon 3
Alianza FC 0
Motagua 3
Semi-finals
Olimpia -
Cartagines -
Alajuelense -
Motagua -
Final
TBD -
TBD -