Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Gjoni A.
79'
79'
Murataj J.
87'
87'
Menolli J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ambrosiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Cartigliano have won more games recently than Ambrosiana.
- Win probability leans Cartigliano's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 68%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartigliano | Ambrosiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Ambrosiana
2:2
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Cartigliano
0:1
May 5, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Cartigliano
3:1
Jan 6, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Ambrosiana
2:1
Feb 22, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Cartigliano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cartigliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Gjoni A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murataj J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Ambrosiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Dall'Agnola M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cartigliano 77 / 100
Ambrosiana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cartigliano Ambrosiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ambrosiana has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Cartigliano's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cartigliano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cartigliano VS Ambrosiana
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 7
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Cartigliano
(Home) 07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1 Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0 Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2 Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1 Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1 Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1 Torviscosa
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2 Adriese
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1 Montebelluna
19 Mar
Cartigliano
1 : 6 Luparense FC
05 Mar
Cartigliano
0 : 0 Cjarlins Muzane
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Ambrosiana
(Away) 26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0 Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2 Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1 Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3 Spinea
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0 Ambrosiana
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1 Ambrosiana
27 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
1 : 2 Ambrosiana
15 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2 Ambrosiana
03 Apr
Cartigliano
2 : 2 Ambrosiana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arzignano | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 74:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Clodiense | 34 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 53:22 | 72 |
| 3 | Adriese | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 61:36 | 66 |
| 4 | Luparense FC | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 58:50 | 51 |
| 7 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:50 | 50 |
| 8 | Montebelluna | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 57:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 36:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 51:43 | 45 |
| 11 | Cartigliano | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Este | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 31:42 | 43 |
| 13 | Levico Terme | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ambrosiana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 45:52 | 40 |
| 15 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43:51 | 36 |
| 16 | Spinea | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27:58 | 25 |
| 17 | Cattolica Calcio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 20:61 | 23 |
| 18 | San Martino Speme | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 29:73 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)
