Sport Picks

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Cartigliano vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Akammadu F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 game between Cartigliano and Montebelluna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cartigliano
30%
Draws
31%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cartigliano haven't matched Montebelluna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cartigliano a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 20%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartigliano Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Montebelluna
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Cartigliano
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Cartigliano
2:0
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Montebelluna
1:0
Feb 14, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Cartigliano
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartigliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Akammadu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartigliano 76 / 100
Montebelluna 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartigliano Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cartigliano scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Montebelluna has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cartigliano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montebelluna
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartigliano

(Home)
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0
Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2
Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1
Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1
Montebelluna
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Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)