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Cartigliano vs Montecchio Maggiore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Miniati M.
45' Event
Strada F.
64' Event
Visinoni N.

AI Match Summary

Cartigliano in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartigliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cartigliano
30%
Draws
12%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartigliano lately — more wins on the board than Montecchio Maggiore.
  • Win probability leans Cartigliano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartigliano Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.47 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Cartigliano
2:0
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Montecchio Maggiore
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartigliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Miniati M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barzon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Strada F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Visinoni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartigliano 95 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartigliano Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montecchio Maggiore conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Cartigliano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Cartigliano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montecchio Maggiore
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartigliano

(Home)
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0
Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2
Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1
Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)