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Cartusia Kartuzy vs Gedania Gdansk

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Nowicki B.
72' Event
Skrzecz O.
82' Event
Reclaw A.

AI Match Summary

Cartusia Kartuzy in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartusia Kartuzy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartusia Kartuzy
6%
Draws
4%
Gedania Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartusia Kartuzy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cartusia Kartuzy at 1 per game, Gedania Gdansk at 0.
  • Model gives Cartusia Kartuzy a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 15%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartusia Kartuzy Gedania Gdansk
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 1
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Gedania Gdansk
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:2
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Gedania Gdansk vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Gedania Gdansk
1:2
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Gedania Gdansk vs Cartusia Kartuzy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowicki B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skrzecz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartusia Kartuzy 84 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartusia Kartuzy Gedania Gdansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gedania Gdansk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Cartusia Kartuzy's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cartusia Kartuzy VS Gedania Gdansk
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717